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Showing posts with label forex chart analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forex chart analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

RE: 130 Pip Move On Yesterday's Trade Call



Going into the NY session, the EURJPY did make a break below 127.00, as I suggested we watch for. CLICK HERE to read the trade setup. Price fell to the next support area of 126.50 and rode that out until Tokyo open, where the Yen picked up some momentum and drove the Yen pairs down. This move closed the price gap, formed over the weekend, down to 125.70.

For you newbies, this 130 pip move, equates to a potential +100% profit on the trade. As I've said in the past, "Success is not in the quantity of trades you make, but rather in the quality of trades."

I hope this helped some of you. A video review of the trade is posted below.

Monday, April 12, 2010

EURJPY Consolidating, With Gap to the Short Side

Again, sorry for the lack of posts, but I'm seeing something setting up that has caught my eye.

The EURJPY is consolidating just above 127.00, with the EURUSD finding support at 1.3585 and the USDJPY at 93.50.


In the past, I've written about using the EURUSD and the USDJPY as indicators for the EURJPY. If the indicators break below their support levels, and the EURJPY breaks below the major pshych level at 127.00, we could see the EURJPY make a break down and try to close that gap down to 125.70. That would be a nice 100+ pip move. This next hour or two, going into the NY open is key.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

RE: USDJPY Trading in Tight Range

The GBPJPY broke it's range for a 50+ pip move down, and the EURJPY made a 40 pip move down after it broke below 122.00. Yes, I know these pairs have potential to move more, but I wasn't expecting a big move. That's why I said I'd be happy for a quick 40-50 pip move, which would test yesterday's lows. Remember not to get greedy. A 40% profit margin on a trade lasting no more than an hour, isn't a bad day's work.

You've got to grab those pips when you can!



Once the USDJPY broke below 90.15, it's move down made the EURJPY and the GBPJPY move 40 and 50 pips, for it smaller move of 19 pips. I liked how the USDJPY was stacking up along the 90.15 support, showing pressure on the sell side.


I hope some of you could see how I recognized that set up, and were able to grab a few pips.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Forex Pairs I'm Watching Going Into London Session


Sorry posts have been slow coming as of late. I've been busy with some other projects outside of Forex. Watch for trade room to be open again next week.

GBPJPY Asian session high is at 148.75. Hoping for a break above that for a further move up. Breaks in key S/R levels are moving in 100 pip increments. A fall below Asia's breach of 148 could see a nice move back down to 147.

Cable took a nice bounce off of 1.64. Watching for a break above that, or depending on PA, a bounce off of that could provide a good move on a short. In this event, I'd keep a tight stop just above 1.64.

EURJPY is forming a nice looking squeeze, as outlined in blue. Any breaks played will need to watch the S/R levels on either side.

Have a good weekend everyone!

Friday, October 9, 2009

Live Forex Trade Room - Today's London Session


The Live Forex Trade Room has been quiet this week, but tonight was a good night. A couple of us made some pips, and the company was good as usual. (The red arrows on the charts indicate where we took trades while in the room.) The Room has become a social outlet for us lonely traders. As most of you have probably experienced, Forex trading can be lonely. Especially if you trade in the wee hours of the morning, like I do. It is 2:16 AM my time, while it is 10:16 AM in London. Tonight, there was only 4 of us, but we've all know one another for several month now, so in between Forex moves, we chat, and it keeps the mind sane. At least, it does for me anyway. John from Eastern Australia was in, along with Brian from UK and Glen from Alberta, Canada. Diversity in the room is not lacking, even when the Live Trade Room is not full.

So, stop in and hang out when you get a chance. It's not all hardcore trading. Well, it is when the market dictates, but for the most part, we all enjoy the company of other traders, to make our sessions a bit more enjoyable.

The Live Forex Trade Room hours are listed above. They are not set in stone, but those are the general hours we are in. Email is at the top of the page, if you have any question or comments.

Have a good weekend everyone.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

RE: GBPJPY


It did make a break up, and is finding some stiff resistance at 144.35. If it can break that level, it has room to run to 145, and maybe 145.23.

FOREX VIDEO: September 30, 2009 Tokyo Session Preview and Trade Review


Forex Trading Video Review of yesterday's post, regarding squeeze formations on the GBPJPY and the EURJPY, heading into the Tokyo Session. The break on the GBPJPY was more definitive and moved for 100 pips. Also, there is a preview of the GBPJPY, going into today's Tokyo session, and a comparative of the GBPJPY and EURJPY.

RE: Forex Chart GBPJPY


It's making an early break to the upside. I'd rather see it break downward, and closer to Tokyo open in an hour, when moves are usually more decisive. .95 and .00 are holding as resistance, so I've adjusted the squeeze.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Forex Chart Preview for Tokyo Session


Yesterday's squeeze on the GBPJPY and the EURJPY made nice moves yesterday, so I'm looking at another squeeze today, forming on the GBPJPY. A consolidation is forming, where the range is getting tighter(squeezed)into a smaller range. Watch for a break at, or near Tokyo open. These breaks are usually good for 20-40 pips, sometimes more.

Watch for resistance at 143.95, and 144.35. Support is at 143.57 and 143.00. It looks like it wants to range between 144 and 142, so I think a break to the downside would provide a better move.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Chart Preview Going Into Tokyo Session


Hello everyone. Sorry I've been absent from posting as of late. I've been busy with some other business and personal matters and have not had the proper time to devote to posting.

Getting to today's charts, I see squeezes forming on the GBPJPY and the EURJPY. The USDJPY has closed the small gap that formed at yesterday's opening, so that should be a non-factor.

As for the trade room, it should be open for today's London session. We usually have or regular 10-12 traders in there, but there is still room for a total of 20. If you'd like to join us, please feel free. Information about the room, and the link is near the top of this page.

Also, if you are a new trader, or are wanting to learn more about trading without indicators, using only PA and support/resistance levels, please feel free to email me. I'm happy to help when and where I can. (email is at the top of the page)

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Updated Charts Going into the Asian Forex Trading Session


Typical ranging and consolidations are forming, as we head into the Asian/Tokyo trading sessions. What is noticeable is the S/R levels (yellow lines) are being followed, but not respected as PA is breaking out of the S/R lines, then recovering back inside the ranges. This is sloppy PA (price action) in my opinion, making range break and consolidation break trades, more risky than I would like. If you are a range trader, playing bounces off the top and bottom levels, this is more your market right now. Looking at my 8 pairs, I see nothing that I would consider trading on a breakout. If things change, I will post something.

Videos have been difficult to make as PA has not been following it's usual routine in respect to major market opening times. This is especially true during the Tokyo and London opens. I haven't been posting any videos because I like to try and make videos showing setups as they are forming. Setups have been forming quickly and and breaking early so catching them in a video, has been difficult. I'd rather not make videos after the fact. It's too easy to talk about moves that already happened. I only make follow-up videos, after moves have occurred, that were outlined in a previous "set-up" video or blog post. I feel it is more productive this way for anyone learning to trade forex. I'll post a video as soon as market times and PA cooperate.

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Update going into London


Watching for a break of 161.59, with resistance at 161.75,162.00, and maybe for a test of 162.43 on the GBPJPY. To the downside, watching 160.95, with support at 160.61 to the 23.6 Fib.

Don't forget that the live trade room opens in 30 minutes.

To Enter, Click Here

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Chart Update for London Session


Price squeezes happened earlier, and also made their breaks earlier than usual today. Very important news is out today for the GBP, and Later the USD so check your calendars. GBP news is out in 15 minutes.

Now I'm watching for a break of 160.40 on the GBPJPY, with a close eye on the PA once it reaches the 23.6 Fib area around 160.15. A break below that could make for a nice move down. Looking at a possible buy if it breaks above 160.95, but would keep stops very tight if either a buy or sell is taken.

Also, I like range breaks on the Cable, above 1.6950, and especially below 1.6900.

(Live trade room is now open, Tuesday thru Friday at 06:30am London and 01:30am NY)

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Live Webcast/Chat Room Opened Today

The first Live Webcast just ended. I'd like to thank all of you who attended. We had a technical issue and signed off earlier than expected, but I hope to see you again tomorrow. I did sign back on and had someone else join the room, and continued on until I cleared out my sell on the GBJPY.

The GBPJPY made the break below 160.85, down to the 23.6 Fib area, as discussed. The Construction PMI announcement came out on the GBP and pushed the Sterling up, and found resistance at 160.61. The blue box is the area in which I sold and then closed my trade as the price started to push back up after the news.

Thanks for stopping by the room. I will be back there tomorrow. Hope to see you there.

Friday, July 31, 2009

Chart Updates for London Session

1.6585, that is the 0.0 level I have on the Fib for the GBPUSD, that has been holding pretty true all week. You can see the resistance that built up along the 23.6 Fib, and has broken above it in the last hour.

GBPJPY is ranging within .25-.85. Break should happen in this hour or the next. The past few hours of the Asian session has been quiet.

Orange lines are S/R. The Green 155.40 on the GBPJPY has been a pretty strong Support that past couple of weeks. Fibs are in green on Cable.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Q&A

Please direct any questions or comments to the email address at the top of the page. I'm happy to take Forex related questions and will post the questions and answers to the blog.

Thanks Again,

Charles

Monday, July 27, 2009

Updates before Tokyo Session

USDCAD reacted a bit to the trend line area , and has been adjusted to reflect the recent PA.

GBPJPY and USD are consolidating a bit. Cable is finding support at the 38.2 FIB. The green dotted line at 155.40 on the GBPJPY is a S?R line that has been used as a trade setup line a couple times. It is green to for that reason. I'm seeing a break of either the 38.2 Fib or above 1.65 on the Cable, as a possible setup.

All orange S/R lines, on the charts, have been left unchanged.

Click on Chart to Enlarge

UPDATE: Live Webcast Trade Room

Live Trade Room will be coming soon. Below you will see the Webcast widget, where it will give the Scheduled time, and instructions to sign in. There are no downloads. It will all be through your browser. I'll post more updates soon.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Chart Update Going Into Tokyo

EURJPY has made a break above the 133 after a squeeze down, against 132,85 (Daily Pivot), and has hit first resistance line at 133.26. EURUSD and the AUDUSD have also made similar moves.

GBPJPY is consolidating a bit. USDJPY has tightened up to a 30 pip range from a 60 range over the past 48 hours.

Check back for more updates later in the day.

Click on Charts to enlarge.